MPIA-20414 Public Investment on National Food Security Programs in Nigeria: A CGE Analysis of the Macroeconomic, Welfare and Gender Impact on Small Farm Holders in Nigeria.

Abstract

The focus on poverty alleviation in connection with the SDGs requires clarity of the macroeconomic impact of agricultural productivity in developing countries. This is driven largely by the inherent advantages of agricultural production in terms of raising rural income and overall growth of the economy. However, a necessary condition for food security is efficient allocation of resources in the sector. Nigeria has invested significantly on agricultural production over the years. Yet, the growth in population and urbanization exert significant pressure on food production, leading to food price inflation and massive food importation. As a key priority area in the current real sector intervention programs of the federal government, the National Food Security Programs (NFSP), launched in 2016, is expected to increase domestic production of food for local consumption and export; reduce food importation, increase farmers skills and participation of youth and women in agriculture. This study investigates the macroeconomic impact of NFSP on small farm holders with a special focus on contribution to GDP, welfare, skills acquisition, employment and poverty reduction among women and youth. Analysis is conducted via a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model, which calibrates Nigeria’s Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) in order to simulate the impact of the public investment for food security. The results of this study will help the government in coordinating and harmonising its policy options for improved agriculture and food security in future.


Members

Project leader: Emily Edoisa Ikhide

Project researchers: Ezra Kure | Mary Oketa | Sunday BARKA AMBUNO | fehintola Oyebola | Gift Emmanuel Festus

Scientific mentors: Lulit Mitik Beyene

Policy outreach mentors: Claude Sinzogan


Working Papers

No working papers.


Policy Briefs

No policy briefs.


Proposal

Title Modified Size Comments Recommendations
Public Investment on National Food Security Programs in Nigeria: A CGE Analysis of the Macroeconomic, Welfare and Gender Impact on Small Farm Holders in Nigeria 2019-09-13 316.95kB 0 0

Final report

No final reports.


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